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Will Bibi be Back? Netanyahu Braces for 'Aggressive Campaign' as Israeli Government Collapses_我的网站

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A | 各位读者朋友，大家好，我是张博。今年1月份《投资风向标》专栏虽然名义上停更了，但实际上停更后，我一直在以公开图文+音频的形式继续更新，在每个交易日的前一晚继续跟大家一起复盘大盘的涨跌起伏，拆解过热点板块的底层逻辑。感谢每一位认真读过、听过、留言问过问题的朋友。你们的持续关注，是这档内容能坚持到今天最大的动力。 Israel officially launched its election season last week, with parties competing for 120 seats at the Israeli parliament ̶ the Knesset. The elections are expected to take place on 1 November, and Israeli media polls are already releasing their projections for the upcoming race.,A Comeback for Netanyahu,Ex-Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is leading the latest polls. His Likud Party is projected to grab 34 seats in the chamber, four more than the March 2021 elections. Other surveys predict that he may win even more spots. Aviv Bushinsky, who served as Netanyahu’s media advisor, explained that there is an "80 percent chance" his former boss will soon be making a comeback.,Arab-Israeli Community Ready to Stand Up Against Netanyahu as They Prepare for His Return1 July, 05:23 GMT,Bushinsky claimed that the policies of the Naftali Bennett government help Netanyahu’s popularity, despite his ongoing trial in which he is accused of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.,"The previous government did a number of good things like the way they handled COVID-19, the quiet they established vis-a-vis Gaza and the fact that there is no deficit in Israel," said Bushinsky. "But that coalition was weak. It couldn't legislate anything.,They focused on the maintenance and on counting seats and they created a feeling among many Israelis that the Arabs dominate the parliament unproportionally. Their demands were too high and very often [those Arab parties] aligned themselves with the Palestinians," he added.,Past Mistakes?,Since its inception in June 2021, the Bennett government has been relying on the support of Raam, an Islamic parliamentary faction believed to have ties with the Muslim Brotherhood*.,To win its support, the government allocated some $10.5 billion to the needs of the Arab community, specifically to tackle growing crime rates and unemployment, as well as improve poor infrastructure. Later, it was also revealed that another Arab party -- the Joint Arab List -- received more than $60 million in exchange for its "cooperation" in the Knesset.,Netanyahu Throws Likud Ally Under the Bus After He Proposes Including Arab Party in Coalition26 June, 18:21 GMT,Some Israelis perceived this as bribing the Arab parliamentarians in order to keep the coalition intact. Others saw the main reason for the dire security situation and the wave of terrorist activity in these actions.,Not an Easy Fight,However, Bushinsky believes that Netanyahu’s comeback will not be easy, and his success will largely depend on who will agree to join his coalition.,For now, there are not so many buyers. Current PM Yair Lapid holds a grudge against Netanyahu and is unlikely to give up his seat. The head of Yisrael Beitenu Party also has bad blood with the former premier, as do many other politicians.,Yet, Bushinsky explained that it is not a hopeless case.,"[The head of the Blue and White party] Benny Gantz didn't rule out that he would sit with Netanyahu. Yamina under [Interior Minister Ayelet] Shaked might do that as well, although we don't know how strong her party will be".,"One thing is for sure: Netanyahu is preparing an aggressive campaign," he informed.,‘We Will Not Join Him’: Gantz Parries Claims He Courted Likud, But Bennett’s Bloc Still on the Rocks27 May, 20:26 GMT,The focus of Netanyahu’s campaign will reportedly be on highlighting the tendencies of Lapid to tilt towards the liberals. Netanyahu is due to emphasize that Bennett was in a coalition with Raam that purportedly supports terrorists.,Bibi is also expected to allege that his main challenger would divide Jerusalem and make painful concessions to the Palestinians. Netanyahu, on the other hand, will present himself as a defender of Israel and as Mr. Security.,"This is Netanyahu's comfort zone. By conducting a harsh and aggressive campaign, Netanyahu will push the masses out to the ballots and this will increase his chances," said Bushinsky.,"At the same time, if he leads an aggressive campaign against Arabs, it might push them into the ballots too and that might not be in favor of Netanyahu," he added.,In any case, Netanyahu is prepared for a fight. His team is saying that he will be touring Israel and won't leave any stone unturned. He knows that this might be his last change to forge a coalition.,"If he fails, members of the Likud might start thinking that he needs to be replaced so that their party could enter a coalition and establish a government. They might want to give somebody else a chance," summed up Bushinsky.,*Muslim Brotherhood is a terrorist organization banned in Russia.。

B | 不过今天是一个“转折点”的通知——从下周起，《投资风向标》的日常图文/音频专栏将正式停更。

C | 但别误会，“风向标”没有消失，而是要做一次彻底的升级调整。为什么要调整？股市的机会往往转瞬即逝，而文章/音频的“单向输出”有着天然的滞后性。

D | 某个热点盘中突然爆发，背后的驱动逻辑我只能在当天晚上的文章里才能完整写出来，而最佳的观察窗口可能已经过去了。

E | 很多朋友希望我能讲讲“怎么看量价背离”“怎么识别主力试盘”，但这些技术分析的方法，用文字和截图讲起来非常吃力，也不够直观。所以，与其继续做“事后复盘”的专栏，不如换一种更直接、更实时、更有深度的形式——直播。《投资风向标》直播版·正式上线从下周二（5月19日）开始，《投资风向标》将以每周两场闭门直播的全新面貌与大家见面。直播安排时间：每周二、周四晚18:00（每场约45-60分钟）形式：视频直播 + 实时互动答疑 + 可回放观看方式：报名后，加入专属社群，在群里以腾讯会议的形式进行每场直播讲什么？我把以前专栏里“只能写给你看”的内容，变成“讲给你听、陪你聊”的三个核心模块：盘面解构：当日指数、成交量、资金流向、主力信号的深度复盘——比文章更立体，用图表和数据实时演示。

F | 主线挖掘：聚焦2-3个热点板块，拆解其驱动逻辑和产业链传导路径，每场会从不同维度筛选出3家值得跟踪的重点公司。方法赋能：这是我最想强化的一块。在行情平淡或遇到典型案例时，我会穿插讲解技术分析工具（量价、均线、MACD等）、选股框架、仓位管理及风控原则——不只告诉你“今天怎么看”，更教你“以后怎么自己看”。

G | 为什么值得你来观看？实时互动：你的问题，可以当场提、当场答，不再隔夜。深度加码：用屏幕共享、K线标注、划线分析，把过去文字讲不清楚的技术细节，一次性讲透。

H | 社群陪伴：报名用户可以加入专属微信群，可以在群里与我互动交流，遇到突发消息，我也会在社群内发布快评文字或语音。专栏回顾：我最近整理了近一年专栏里提到的公司的涨幅情况，可在《最近1年投资风向标专栏的回顾》文章中查看详情直播怎么收费？采用月度订阅的形式，价格198元/月，每周交付2场，每月至少8场。同时给订阅过《投资风向标》专栏的老朋友提供了专属优惠：首月报名仅需98元/月（约5折）想要报名的朋友，微信搜索“活动”小程序，即可看到《投资风向标》直播版的报名入口，当然也可以直接联系虎子哥报名邀你免费参与一场《投资风向标》闭门直播我准备在明天（本周五）晚上18点，进行一场《投资风向标》闭门直播的试播，感兴趣的朋友可以来免费观看。